The race to No. 1 between Nadal and Federer: scenarios at the US Open

The race to No. 1 between Nadal and Federer: scenarios at the US Open

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The race to the No. 1 spot continues. On Monday Rafael Nadal will be back at the top of the rankings for the first time since June 2014. The Spaniard player had 7.645 points, 500 more than the World No. 2 Andy Murray and 505 than No.

3 Roger Federer. US Open is a very important tournament for the Year-End No. 1. Nadal defends 180 points as last year he reached fourth round, Federer doesn't defend any while Murray 360, as he reached quarter-finals. Dropping off those points, we get these standings: 1.

Nadal, 7465
2. Federer, 7145
3. Murray, 6790 Let's start from Murray who can still be back No. 1 although he has a very few chances to do it. Andy will have to reach semifinals to be in the contention. Let's say that all of three reach the second week.

You have round by round scenarios as it follows. NADAL 1. If Nadal loses in the fourth round or quarters In both cases Federer would need to reach semifinals to be No. 1. Murray would need the finals to overcome the Mallorcan at the second place.

2. If Nadal loses in the semifinals Federer should reach the final to be at the top of the rankings. Murray should win the title, and if he does it he will be No. 1. 3. If Nadal loses in the final Both Federer and Murray would be forced to win the title to be respectively No.

1 and 2. 4. If Nadal wins the title He would be 100% sure to stay No. 1 regardless of Federer and Murray's results. FEDERER 1. If Federer loses in the fourth round Nadal would stay No.

1 even if he loses in the first round. Murray would need to reach semifinals to be No. 2 just ahead of Roger. 2. If Federer loses in the quarters Nadal would still be No. 1 even by losing in the second round. Reaching semifinals, Murray would still be #2 by a 5 point difference.

3. If Federer loses in the semifinals Nadal would be forced to reach semis and Murray the finals to be both ahead of Federer. 4. If Federer loses the final Both Nadal and Murray would need to win the title to be higher ranked than the Swiss.

5. If Federer wins the title Like in Nadal's case, Roger would be No. 1 again regardless of any other result. MURRAY So far we made scenarios mainly about Nadal and Federer's results, but if Andy goes very far in New York things could really change.

1. If Murray loses in the fourth round or quarters He would drop to No. 3 even if Federer and Nadal lose opening match. 2. If Murray loses in the semifinals Federer would need to reach the semifinals to be ahead of him in the rankings, third round instead for Nadal because if the Spaniard loses in the second round, they would have same amount of points (7,510) and since Andy played fewer events than Nadal this year, he would be No.

2. 3. If Murray loses the final Nadal should reach semis to be ahead of the British, Federer should win the title. 4. If Murray wins the title He would be No. 1 again regardless of Nadal and Federer's results.

To sum up, Federer needs to get a better result than Nadal to be No. 1, but an eventual triumph of Murray would influence everything. Here below scenarios with points round by round starting from first week:

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