The ATP Finals is the tournament that will close the ATP tennis season. On the hard surface of the O2 Arena, in London, they will compete the best eight players of the Race, qualified for the year-end Master during the last ten months.
Without Rafael Nadal and Juan Martin del Potro, both out due to injuris, there will be Novak Djokovic, just back world no. 1, Roger Federer, Alexander Zverev, Marin Cilic, Kevin Anderson, Kei Nishikori, Dominic Thiem and John Isner.
The draw of the two groups maybe smiled at Federer. Entered in the Lleyton Hewitt group, the Swiss will face Nishikori, Thiem and Anderson. Djokovic is in the Guga Kuerten group, along with Zverev, Cilic and Isner. Overall the Serb's group seems a little more complicated, but only apparently.
The first two of each group will compete to cross the first two of the other, in the semi-finals, scheduled for Saturday November 17th. At present the favorites for the final victory should be right Djokovic. The Serb, who from Wimbledon forward had a formidable path with only two defeats, will try to reach the six (record) titles of the Swiss Maestro.
Nole is the most serious candidate for the title, for all we have seen in the last six months. His robotic game and his newfound mental strength are too much for all his opponents, even on a faster surface that could theoretically favor Federer.
The Swiss regained confidence after Basel and Paris-Bercy. Thereal question is: can he beat Nole? For him, who lost the last 10 meeting on 11 against the Serb, it is like a mission impossible. He could aspire to win but he needs to reach London in the best shape, even by the mental point of view.
in an eventual challenge against Djokovic he should find all the mental solidity, like he showed in the semifinal of Paris-Bercy. Anyway, even last saturday it was noth enough to beat Nole. Zverev does not seem a credible opponent at the moment.
The German down coincides, like last year, with the last part of the season. Even Isner should not create problems for the Serb. The most serious rival in his round robin is Cilic. The Croat on this surface has the weapons to be able to aspire at least to the semi-finals or a place in the final.
However, the gap between him and Djokovic is too wide. In the other round robin, Nishikori and Anderson will play for the second place and then access to the semi-finals. Difficult for Thiem. The Austrian, like Zverev, is not experiencing a good moment of physical shape, and the surface does not favor his tennis.
Djokovic has a score of 49 wins and 11 losses this year.
In the head-to-head, he is ahead of all his opponents in the Guga Kuerten Group and, in general, he is ahead of all the other seven competitors. Federer is at a disadvantage with Thiem (1-2) and with Nole (22-25). Below our predictions with relative percentages. 2018 ATP Finals: percentages: Possible semi-finalists: Federer, Anderson, Djokovic, Cilic Final victory: Djokovic 50%, Federer 25%, Cilic 15% Anderson 5% Nishikori% ALSO READ: Next Gen ATP Finals Preview - Hubert Hurkacz