Alcaraz and Sinner will fight the the ATP No.2: the Indian Wells scenario

The young Italian will have the chance to overcome the Spaniard, during the first ATP Masters 1000 of the season

by Lorenzo Ciotti
Alcaraz and Sinner will fight the the ATP No.2: the Indian Wells scenario
© Matthew Stockman / Staff Getty Images Sport

A few hours and it will finally be time to observe the best players in the world in the first  ATP Masters 1000 of the year, the BNP Paribas Open, played on the Californian hard-courts of Indian Wells.

There is a lot of anticipation for the return of Novak Djokovic, who did not participate in the 2023 edition and will therefore only be able to increase his points in the rankings. And of course, all await the come back of Rafael Nadal, who returns after a fatigue suffered after the defeat in Brisbane.

Anyway, all eyes will also be on the battle for second place in the ranking. Carlitos Alcaraz or Jannik Sinner: which of them will be ATP No.2 at the end of the BNP Paribas Open 2024 edition?

Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz© Julian Finney / Staff Getty Images Sport

It will presumably be the two of them who will battle for the sport of the ATP ranking at the ATP Master 1000 in Indian Wells. Alcaraz, reigning title holder, will have to defend his position from the attack of Jannik Sinner, who continues to enjoy a splendid moment in the ATP Tour and is the only unbeaten player so far this season, with 12 consecutive victories collected between the Australian Open and Rotterdam.

Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner© Julian Finney / Staff Getty Images Sport

Sinner or Alcaraz. who will be ATP No.2?

The Spaniard will lose 1000 points at the start of the competition, the Italian will lose 360 for the semi-final he won last year, in which it was Carlitos who beat him and eliminated him. Daniil Medvedev almost completely disappeared from the fight, as he needed to reconfirm himself as champion in Dubai to have more chances to worry the two young talents.

Below, here is how the three contenders will start, considering the points less than the result obtained last year:

Jannik Sinner 7910
Carlos Alcaraz 7805
Daniil Medvedev 7115

In short, Sinner will only need to replicate the result that the Spaniard will achieve in 2024, to overtake him in the rankings. The Russian is obliged to win to get closer: to reach Miami as number 2, the Russian tennis player can only hope for two quick exits from his rivals. If the Italian reached at least the round of 16, he would be certain not to be overtaken by Medvedev.

Alcaraz Indian Wells