Ex-French star gives Rafael Nadal shockingly low chances of winning French Open

Nadal set to make his French Open return in 2024.

by Dzevad Mesic
Ex-French star gives Rafael Nadal shockingly low chances of winning French Open
© Getty Images Sport - Adam Pretty

Former French tennis player Florent Serra thinks Rafael Nadal has just "10 percent or less chance" of winning the 2024 French Open. Nadal, who owns a record 14 French Open titles, confirmed last week that he will be playing his first tournament in 12 months at the Brisbane International.

When Nadal returns, he will be coming off surgery and one year older. Ahead of Nadal's return, many are wondering if the 37-year-old Spaniard can reach his peak performance by May and contend for the French Open title. “I don’t think he is capable of lifting the trophy a 15th time at Roland Garros.

Apart from the images that we have all seen where he shows intensity, I think that an absence of one year compared to all these players who played all year where tennis goes even faster. You will have to do an exceptional sequence, gain confidence and playing time, all this without being seeded, without protecting yourself in the first rounds.

At 37 years old, it seems a little complicated to me to win Roland Garros, to tell you the truth. For me, there is less than a 10% chance of seeing him win Roland Garros, or even lower," Serra said on RMC Sport.

Serra gives Nadal just '10 percent chance' of winning the French Open

Nadal's last French Open win came when many thought that it would be impossible for him to win it all at Roland Garros.

In 2022, Nadal was severely hampered by a foot issue just before the start of the French Open. At the time, there were reports suggesting that Nadal may not even play at the French Open. When Nadal confirmed he would play, many were happy but many still the general feeling was that it was unlikely that the Spaniard would win the title.

After putting his foot to "sleep" for two weeks straight with anesthesia and also playing under painkillers, Nadal managed to win his 14th French Open title after beating Casper Ruud in the final.

Rafael Nadal French Open